894
表格來源:https://www.bogleheads.org/wiki/Variable_percentage_withdrawal
先前我們提到一種退休金動態提領策略,「設定提領百分比上下限」,這是一種將「固定美元」提領策略與「固定百分比」提領策略,兩種的想法結合,既考慮實質購買力,也顧慮到退休金可能在預期的期限內提領完畢的問題。
那我們是不是有可能從退休金的資產配置裡,再多領一些錢出來用,答案是可以的,就是這次要介紹的「可變百分比」提領策略。
所謂的「可變百分比」提領策略,除了將「固定美元」提領策略與「固定百分比」提領策略,兩種的想法結合,還將「n分之一」提領策略的想法也納入,所以「可變百分比」既考慮實質購買力,也顧慮到退休金可能在預期的期限內提領完畢的問題,還計畫在預定的期限內將所有的錢剛剛好領用完畢,這也就是「可變百分比」提領策略能夠有機會再多領一些錢出來用的作法。
這個提領策略的作法相當簡單,有兩種執行的方法,第一種方法是查表,我們舉個例子來說明。
首先我們需要以下的一些假設條件:
1.你預期提領的期限為年齡100歲,也就是說,當你年紀到100歲時,你計劃剛剛好把退休金提領完畢。
2.你計畫65歲退休,所以你未來必須從退休金中提領35次來支出生活費。
3.你的資產配置組合是全球股市與全球長期政府債券,並且配置比例為60%股票、40%的債券。
我們來看看下表紅字部份,紅字的百分比由5%一直提高至100%,65歲提領5.0%、66歲提領5.1%以此類推,這就是每年你須從退休金中提領的比率,是不是很簡單。
VPW Table
Age | Withdrawals | 30% Stocks 70% Bonds | 40% Stocks 60% Bonds | 50% Stocks 50% Bonds | 60% Stocks 40% Bonds | 70% Stocks 30% Bonds |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
40 | 60 | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% |
41 | 59 | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% |
42 | 58 | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% |
43 | 57 | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% |
44 | 56 | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% |
45 | 55 | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% |
46 | 54 | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% |
47 | 53 | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% |
48 | 52 | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% |
49 | 51 | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% |
50 | 50 | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% |
51 | 49 | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% |
52 | 48 | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% |
53 | 47 | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% |
54 | 46 | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% |
55 | 45 | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% |
56 | 44 | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% |
57 | 43 | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% |
58 | 42 | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% |
59 | 41 | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% |
60 | 40 | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% |
61 | 39 | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% |
62 | 38 | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% |
63 | 37 | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% |
64 | 36 | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% |
65 | 35 | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% |
66 | 34 | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% |
67 | 33 | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% |
68 | 32 | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% |
69 | 31 | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% |
70 | 30 | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% |
71 | 29 | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% |
72 | 28 | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% |
73 | 27 | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% |
74 | 26 | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% |
75 | 25 | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% |
76 | 24 | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% |
77 | 23 | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% |
78 | 22 | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% |
79 | 21 | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% |
80 | 20 | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% |
81 | 19 | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% |
82 | 18 | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% |
83 | 17 | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% |
84 | 16 | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.3% |
85 | 15 | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.7% |
86 | 14 | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.1% |
87 | 13 | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.7% |
88 | 12 | 9.6% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 10.3% |
– | 11 | 10.4% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 11.0% |
– | 10 | 11.3% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 11.9% |
– | 9 | 12.4% | 12.5% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 13.0% |
– | 8 | 13.7% | 13.9% | 14.0% | 14.2% | 14.3% |
– | 7 | 15.5% | 15.6% | 15.8% | 15.9% | 16.1% |
– | 6 | 17.8% | 18.0% | 18.1% | 18.2% | 18.4% |
– | 5 | 21.1% | 21.2% | 21.4% | 21.5% | 21.6% |
– | 4 | 26.0% | 26.2% | 26.3% | 26.4% | 26.5% |
– | 3 | 34.3% | 34.4% | 34.5% | 34.6% | 34.7% |
– | 2 | 50.7% | 50.8% | 50.8% | 50.9% | 51.0% |
– | 1 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% |